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Morning Alert: Alarm.com Holdings accelerates rise, now up 7.2% in 2 days 18 January 2018 11:11 EST

NEWS BITES - NORTH AMERICA

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc (NASDAQ:ALRM) is up $US2.67 (or 7.2%) over the past two trading days. After rising 3.4% on Wednesday, the stock rose 3.7% on Thursday to trade at $US39.68 vs. the NASDAQ-100 Index that is up 1.0% in the same period.

SECTION 1: The past week

Current indications of bullish signals that support the trend in the unusual trading

1.1 At a glance

Weekly: Alarm.com Holdings in its biggest weekly gain in 2 months January 17, 2018 16:00 EST

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc (NASDAQ:ALRM), the NASDAQ's 24th largest Technology company by market cap, has lifted $US2.04 (or 5.6%) in the past week to close at $US38.27. In the past week the shares have lifted 5.6%, the biggest weekly gain since November 22, 2017. Compared with the NASDAQ-100 Index which rose 147.6 points (or 2.2%) in the week, this represented a relative price increase of 3.4%. The volume was 1.3 times average trading per week of 1.7 million shares. In the past week the market cap has risen $US96.2 million.

1.2 5-day Recap

Alarm.com Holdings outperformed the NASDAQ-100 index in 3 out of 4 days.

DayHeadlineClose price [USD]Price change %Relative change %Comment
WednesdayAlarm.com Holdings in 2nd consecutive rise, nears one-month high38.273.42.3Top Rise
TuesdayAlarm.com Holdings rises to test 37.037.011.61.9
ThursdayAlarm.com Holdings increases on average volume36.540.90.2

Note

DayHeadlineClose price [USD]Price change %Relative change %Comment
FridayAlarm.com Holdings decreases36.43-0.3-1.1Steepest Fall

SECTION 2: Technical indicators

Bullish:

In the last three months the stock has hit a new 52-week high once.

The present value of USD1,000 invested one year ago is $US1,385 [vs $US1,345 for the NASDAQ-100 Index], for a capital gain of $US385. The total return to shareholders for 1 year is 38.5%.

Fundamental measures by comparison with the sector average [in brackets] indicate:

Parity:

Return on Capital Employed 6.6% [6.2%]

Undervaluation:

Return on Assets 3.9% [2.8%]

Total Liabilities/EBITDA of 3.3 is comfortably below the Joseph Piotroski benchmark of <5.

Overvaluation:

Price/Sales of 5.8 [2.5]

Return on Equity 5.3% [5.9%]

Note

The stock is at a discount of 19.8% to the 12-month high of $US49.49 on 24 Oct, 2017. It is also at a premium of 47.8% to the 12-month low of $US26.84 on 27 Jan, 2017.

The stock has underperformed 56% of the NASDAQ market over the past 6 months.

Bearish:

The negative 0.42 MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator suggests a bearish signal (12-day minus 26-day Exponential Moving Averages). Both the 12-day and the 26-day EMA are falling - another bearish signal. In the past week, the stock's MACD has been negative in four days, a reinforcing bearish signal.

SECTION 3: Ranking

DescriptionValueRank In Market
MCap $US billion1.9In 2nd Quartile
52-week Range (in $US)26.8-49.5
1-month Range (in $US)35.8-40.4
Bollinger Bands1.1Bearish

SECTION 4: Earnings

FY2016 Annual Report: Alarm.com Holdings Revenue up 25.0%

Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) reported total revenue for the year-ended 31 December 2016 of $US261m, up 25% from $US209m in the previous year.

Major changes compared with previous year:

Favourable Changes:

- Sales revenue up 25% from $US208.9m to $US261.1m

- Total revenue to total assets up from 0.9 to 1.0

- Sales and marketing expenses to Sales down from 15.4% to 14.9%

- Total current assets to Total Assets up from 71.2% to 72.8%

- Current Debtors to Total Assets up from 9.4% to 11.4%

- Fixed Assets to Total Assets up from 6.8% to 7.7%

- Total Liabilities to EBITDA of 3.3 compares favourably with the Joseph Piotroski benchmark of less than 5. However, it has deteriorated by 38.9% from the previous year's ratio of 2.4.

- Total Liabilities to Operating Cash Flow of 4.0 compares favourably with the Joseph Piotroski benchmark of less than 4. However, it has deteriorated by 94.2% from the previous year's ratio of 2.1.

Unfavourable Changes:

- EBIT Margin down from 8.4% to 5.6%

- Interest cover down 22.6% from 99.1 to 76.7

- EBIT to total assets down from 7.8% to 5.6%

- Cost of Goods Sold to Sales up from 37% to 38.1%

- Administration expenses to Sales up from 17% to 22.2%

- Profit before tax to Sales down from 8.4% to 5.5%

- Total liabilities to Total assets up 8% from 0.2 to 0.3

- Current ratio down 13.5% from 5.5 to 4.8

- Total non-current assets to Total Assets down from 28.8% to 27.2%

Note:

- Amortisation to Sales down from 2.8% to 2.5%

- Working capital to total assets steady at 57.6%

- Intangibles to Total Assets down from 13.7% to 11.2%

SECTION 5: Recent Reported Selling

December 15 2017: Alarm.com Holdings director sells

Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) director Panero Hugh sold 16,114 shares worth $US600,408 on December 13. The selling price was $US37.26.

December 15 2017: Alarm.com Holdings director sells

Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) director Panero Hugh sold 2,500 shares worth $US92,750 on December 14. The selling price was $US37.10. The shares hit a seven-month low on the day.

December 13 2017: Alarm.com Holdings director sells

Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) director McAdam Timothy P sold 20,407 shares worth $US750,639 on December 12. The selling price was $US36.78. The shares hit a six-month low on the day.

November 29 2017: Alarm.com Holdings director sells

Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) director McAdam Timothy P sold 16,521 shares worth $US702,379 on November 28. The selling price was $US42.51. The shares hit a 13-day low on the day.

November 29 2017: Alarm.com Holdings substantial shareholder sells

Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) substantial shareholder Tcv Vii Lp sold 55,188 shares worth $US2,270,610 on November 29. The selling price was $US41.14.

SECTION 6: Recent Reported Buying

December 21 2017: Alarm.com Holdings director awarded shares

Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) director Panero Hugh, was awarded 1,642 shares worth $US59,999 on December 20.

SECTION 7: Recent News of Alarm.com Holdings

January 16: Alarm.com to Announce Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2017 Financial Results on February 27, 2018

TYSONS, Va., Jan. 16, 2018 -- Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq:ALRM), the leading platform for the intelligently connected property, today announced that it will report fourth quarter and full year 2017 financial results after the market close on Tuesday, February 27, 2018. Management will host a conference call and webcast to discuss the Company's financial results at 4:30 p.m.

December 20 2017: Interactive Brokers Group Set to Join S&P MidCap 400; Alarm.com Holdings and Corcept Therapeutics to Join S&P SmallCap 600

NEW YORK, Dec. 20, 2017 -- S&P Dow Jones Indices will make the following changes to the S&P MidCap 400 and S&P SmallCap 600:

Interactive Brokers Group operates as an automated electronic broker and market maker. Headquartered in Greenwich, CT, the company will be added to the S&P MidCap 400 GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard) Investment Banking & Brokerage Sub-Industry index.

Alarm.com Holdings provides cloud-based software platform solutions for the smart homes and businesses.

December 08 2017: What's Happening With These Application Software Stocks? -- ForeScout Technologies, Bazaarvoice, Alarm. Com, and Adobe Systems

NEW YORK, Dec. 8, 2017 In keeping with the commitment to dynamically provide members with timely information, WallStEquities.com has issued free tailored Stock Review on FSCT, BV, ALRM, and ADBE which is a click away at www.wallstequities.com/registration. Research coverage has been initiated by WallStEquities.com on ForeScout Technologies Inc.

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc (O:ALRM)

ISIN: US0116421050

PermID: 5000386924

CIK: 1459200

CUSIP: 011642105

Source: www.BuySellSignals.com