German stock alert


Morning Alert: Deutsche Post decreases 0.1%, leads Transportation sector lower 18 October 2017 10:36 CEST


Deutsche Post AG (ETR:DPW) has decreased 0.1% to trade at EUR38.13 vs. the Transportation sector which weakened 2.9 points (or 0.02%) to 12,169.8. Representing a weighting of about 14.8% of the sector, the stock accounted for 87.1% of today's loss.

SECTION 1: The past week

Current indications of bearish signals that support the trend in the unusual trading

1.1 5-day Recap

Deutsche Post underperformed the DAX index in 3 out of 5 days.

DayHeadlineClose price [EUR]Price change %Relative change %Comment
TuesdayDeutsche Post decreases on average volume38.17-0.5-0.4Steepest Fall


DayHeadlineClose price [EUR]Price change %Relative change %Comment
MondayDeutsche Post increases, lifts 2.6% for week38.370.40.3Top Rise
FridayDeutsche Post up 2.6% for week38.20-0.1
ThursdayDeutsche Post hits year-high 11th time in one month38.20.40.3
WednesdayDeutsche Post consolidates after 2 days of consecutive rises38.060-0.2

SECTION 2: Technical indicators


The 0.7% discount to 12-month high of EUR38.41 against the 38.2% premium to 12-month low of EUR27.58 suggests the climb might be peaking.



The positive 0.61 MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator suggests a bullish signal (12-day minus 26-day Exponential Moving Averages). Both the 12-day and the 26-day EMA are rising - another bullish signal. In the past week, the stock's MACD has been positive every day, a reinforcing bullish signal.

In the last three months the stock has hit a new 52-week high sixteen times, pointing to a significant uptrend.

The present value of EUR1,000 invested one year ago is EUR1,418 [vs EUR1,224 for the DAX Index], including a capital gain of EUR375 and dividend reinvested of EUR44. The total return to shareholders for 1 year is 41.8%.

SECTION 3: Ranking

DescriptionValueRank In Market
MCap $US billion54.4In Top Quartile
Price/MAP2001.09In Top Quartile
Today's Volatility %0.7In Top Quartile
52-week Range (in EUR)27.6-38.4
1-month Range (in EUR)36.4-38.4

SECTION 4: Earnings

FY2016 Annual Report: Deutsche Post Net Profit up 71%

Deutsche Post (ETR:DPW) reported net profit for the year-ended 31 December 2016 of EUR2.6b ($US2.8b), up 71.4% from EUR1.5b ($US1.7b) in the previous year.

Major changes compared with previous year:

Favourable Changes:

- Net profit up 71.4% from EUR1.5b ($US1.7b) to EUR2.6b ($US2.8b)

- EBIT Margin up from 4.2% to 6.1%

- Interest cover up 52.2% from 6.0 to 9.2

- EBIT to total assets up from 6.5% to 9.2%

- Profit before tax to Sales up from 3.5% to 5.5%

- Fixed Assets to Total Assets up from 20.6% to 21.9%

Unfavourable Changes:

- Sales revenue down 3.2% from EUR59.2b ($US64.6b) to EUR57.3b ($US60.5b)

- Total revenue to total assets down from 1.6 to 1.5

- Sales and marketing expenses to Sales up from 33.2% to 34.2%

- Current ratio down 6.9% from 1.0 to 0.9

- Retained earnings to total assets down from 19.6% to 18.9%

- Total Liabilities to EBITDA of 12.6 compares unfavourably with the Joseph Piotroski benchmark of less than 5. However, it has improved by 62% from the previous year's ratio of 33.1.

- Total Liabilities to Operating Cash Flow of 11.1 compares unfavourably with the Joseph Piotroski benchmark of less than 4. This ratio has deteriorated by 43.1% from the previous year's ratio of 7.7.


- Debt to Equity steady at 0.5

- Intangibles to Total Assets down from 63.5% to 63.2%

- Total non-current assets to Total Assets up from 62.7% to 63.1%

- Total current assets to Total Assets down from 37.3% to 36.9%

- Current Debtors to Total Assets up from 23% to 23.4%

- Net tangible assets per share steady at EUR-10.44 (-$US11)

Deutsche Post AG (DE:DPW; ETR:DPW; GR:DPW)

ISIN: DE0005552004

PermID: 4295869983