Russian stock report - Aeroflot - Russian Airlines

RUSS

Aeroflot - Russian Airlines decreases on average volume June 23, 2017 18:00 SAMT

NEWS BITES - BRIC

Aeroflot - Russian Airlines (MICEX:AFLT), Russia's largest Airline company by market cap, has decreased RUB1.70 (0.9%) from its last trading session of June 22 to close at RUB192.70. Compared with the MICEX Index which rose 9.4 points (0.5%) in the day, the relative price change was -1.4%. The volume of 3.3 million shares was close to average trading.

SECTION 1

AEROFLOT - RUSSIAN AIRLINES BEARISH SIGNALS

1.1 Technicals:

+ The price decreased 1.2% in the last month. Volume traded for the month was about average.

1.2 Overbought/Bearish/Resistance Signals:

+ The stock is overbought according to the Williams % R indicator of -9.3, suggesting the price is close to its 14-day high of RUB195.0.

SECTION 2

AEROFLOT - RUSSIAN AIRLINES BULLISH SIGNALS

2.1 Technicals:

+ The 2.2% discount to 12-month high of RUB197.10 against the 142.3% premium to 12-month low of RUB79.52 suggests the stock continues to push for new highs.

+ In the last three months the stock has hit a new 52-week high nine times, pointing to a significant uptrend.

+ A two-bagger in the past year, the present value of RUB1,000 (PV1000) invested one year ago in Aeroflot - Russian Airlines is RUB2,249, for a capital gain of RUB1,249.

PV10001-week1-month1-year
AFLT.MICEX1,1119882,249
MICEX Index1,0271,000978

+ The present value of RUB1,000 (PV1000) invested five years ago in Aeroflot - Russian Airlines is RUB4,529, for a capital gain of RUB3,529.

+ 5 years Multiplier in RUB = 4.529x

+ Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) in RUB = 35.3%

Present Value of USD1,000 invested 5 years ago:

+ The present value of USD1,000 (PV1000) invested five years ago in Aeroflot - Russian Airlines is $US2,513, for a capital gain of $US1,513.

+ 5 years ago USD 1 equalled RUB 33.2226

+ 5 years Multiplier in USD = 2.513x

+ Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) in USD = 20.2%

Jun 23, 2017: USD 1 equals RUB 59.88

2.2 High Performance Indicators:

DescriptionValueRank In Market
Price/MAP2001.23In Top 4%
Price/MAP501.04In Top 8%
Today's TurnoverRUB657.9 million (US$11 million)In Top 9%

SECTION 3

PRICE VOLUME DYNAMICS

3.1 Momentum:

+ Volume: there were 3,414,300 shares worth RUB657.9 million (US$11 million) traded today. In the past week, volume was 1.5 times average and the shares were up 11.1%.

3.2 Beta:

+ Beta: the Beta of Aeroflot - Russian Airlines stock is 1.1. A Beta greater than 1 suggests this is a high risk, high return stock with volatility greater than that of the market.

3.3 Turnover Rate & Turnover Period:

+ The turnover rate in the 12 months to date was 37.5% (or a turnover period of 2 years 7 months). This average length of ownership of the stock at 0.6 times the average holding period of 4 years 3 months for stocks in the MICEX Index suggests a slightly larger number of speculators on the share register, making it less safe for long-term investors.

3.4 Month-on-Month Comparison (Trailing Month - ended 22nd)

22 Jun22 May21 Apr22 Mar22 Feb20 Jan
Price 22 Jun (RUB)194.4189.85167.35163.3168.45160.5
% Price Change2.416.15.4-3.15.55.3
Avg Daily Volume3,344,6603,308,7393,322,3323,513,9323,677,7553,721,766
VWP (RUB)181.04169.76
Price Range (RUB)170.15 - 197.1161.55 - 193157 - 177.8146.35 - 181.9158.71 - 180140 - 164.95
Relative Price Change %715.810.2-0.78
Volatility %15.819.513.224.313.417.8

SECTION 4

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS & RANKING

4.1 Global Peer Group Analysis (all figures in USD)

NameRelative Str. (6 mo)MCapPV $1000 (1 yr)RevenueNet ProfitTotal Assets
EasyJet186.7B851.65.9B540.5M7B
Cathay Pacific Airways746.1B1,005.011.9B1.1B22.7B
Hainan Airlines - A Share545.6B1,020.45.2B439.3M18.3B
Air France - KLM973.7B1,726.027.7B884M25.6B
Aeroflot - Russian Airlines743.6B2,407.4
Air Canada823.6B1,790.011.2B662.3M11.4B
Copa Holdings Class A813.5B2,172.12.3B334.5M3.8B
Korean Air Lines883.2B1,560.510.8B(496M)21B
Air New Zealand932.6B2,433.63.8B336.6M5.3B

Global Peer Group Analysis (continued)

CodeCountryLast PriceP/EP/SP/BookTurnover Rate (%)% Disc to 52-w Hi
EZJGBGBX1,337.012.41.12.4163.88.3
00293HKHKD12.040.51.145.07.5
600221CNCNY3.2213.61.11.2169.48.9
AFFREUR11.176.90.1206.72.4
AFLTRURUB194.4037.01.4
ACCACAD17.355.60.37.991.04.1
CPAUS$US113.0914.31.52.0273.19.7
A003490KRKRW38,400.00.22.7100.72.2
AIZAUAUDA3.087.80.71.73.11.9

4.2 Global Rank [out of 47,450 stocks] and Rank in the Europe Region [out of 8,291 stocks]

DescriptionValueGlobal RankIn Eur Region
MCap (US$)3.6B3,281709
Price to Book0.53,577734
Price/Earnings3.1687192
PV$1000 (1Year) US$*2,4071,673236
US$* Change (1Year) %144.31,603224

* 1 year ago USD 1 = RUB 64.52

Jun 23, 2017: USD 1 equals RUB 59.88

4.3 Rank in the MICEX Index [out of 37 stocks] and Rank in the Total Russian Market [out of 219 stocks]

DescriptionValueIn MICEX IndexIn Total Russian Market
MCap (RUB)214B2327
Price to Book0.5867
Price/Earnings3.1217
PV1000 (1Year)2,24929

4.4 Independent Ratings

Aeroflot - Russian Airlines was ranked 40 in World Airline Awards list of Top 100 Airlines Companies in 2016; an improvement over a year from rank 46 in 2015.

It is placed 9/129 in BSS News Bites' ranking of Russian performers in the past year, a percentile ranking of 93.

SECTION 5

AEROFLOT - RUSSIAN AIRLINES PROFILE

5.1 Activities

Aeroflot - Russian Airlines transports passengers and freight. The Company operates scheduled international and domestic passenger flights and cargo services. Aeroflot's fleet consists of Boeing, Airbus, and other aircraft.

5.2 Industry & Sector

Classification LevelName of Sector
Business SectorTransportation
Industry GroupPassenger Transportation Services
IndustryAirlines
Economic SectorIndustrials

5.3 Top Management

The chairman is Androsov Kirill.

5.4 Issued Capital

Based on 1,110,616,299 issued shares the market capitalisation is RUB214 billion (US$3.6 billion).

SECTION 6

STOCK BUZZ

Corporate Wire

To view Recent Company Headlines, click here

June 20: Aeroflot named Best Airline in Eastern Europe for sixth time at Skytrax World Airline Awards

June 16: Self-service check-in kiosks for Aeroflot passengers installed at Venice Airport

June 15: Aeroflot celebrates 15 years of European cargo operations

June 13: Aeroflot introduces signing bonuses for flight-crew employees

June 09: Aeroflot named among top 20 airlines worldwide by passenger capacity

Contact: +7-495-1556643

State/Province/Country: Russia

Exchange: Moscow Exchange (MICEX)

ISIN: RU0009062285

M:AFLT; MCX:AFLT; MM:AFLT; RM:AFLT; AFLT.MM

PermID: 4295887102

Source: www.BuySellSignals.com